اشترك في: الثلاثاء أغسطس 21, 2012 8:40 pm
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Groundhog Day 2013: No shadow for Phil, spring around the corner
(Page 1 of 3)
Jason Samenow
Saturday, Feb 2, 2013
At 7:25 a.m.Saturday, amidst overcast skies, and frigid temperatures hovering around 8 degrees, Groundhog Phil failed to see his shadow in the small town of Punxsutawney, Pa.
According to folklore, no shadow for Phil means “there will be an early spring.” Had Phil seen his shadow, it would have meant six more weeks of winter.
Since the Groundhog’s first prediction in 1887 (through 2012), Phil has seen his shadow 100 times and not seen it on just 16 occasions. There are nine missing years in the record, but Phil has issued a forecast without exception.
His unimpeachable reliability notwithstanding, Phil’s accuracy is the subject of debate.
The official website of Punxsutawney Phil claims he has “of course” issued a correct forecast 100 percent of the time. But NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center says Phil’s forecasts have shown “no predictive skill” in recent years. AccuWeather finds the furry rodent has an 80 percent accuracy rate.
Phil’s 2012 prediction was far from spot on: He called for six more weeks of winter and the lower 48 states experienced a mild February (17th warmest on record) and its warmest March on record. http://www.washingtonpost.com/rss.jsp?r ... _blog.htmlالرابط غير صحيح
الرابط الصحيح هو :
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/cap ... _blog.html
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